Guess’, Inc. (GES) Stock: Here’s Why It’s Up

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Guess’, Inc. (GES) is climbing in the market in today’s trading session. The company, one that is focused on the service sector, is presently trading at $19.31 after a move up of -12.51% so far in today’s session. When it comes to service sector stocks, there are several factors that have the ability to cause movement in the market. News is one of the most common reasons for movement. Here are the recent headlines surrounding GES:

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Mar-21-19 08:22PM Edited Transcript of GES earnings conference call or presentation 20-Mar-19 8:45pm GMT
04:36PM Why Guess?, Canadian Solar, and Lands’ End Slumped Today
04:02PM 6 Must-See Stock Trades for Friday: AAPL, QRVO, GES, SQ, EA
02:12PM Fund managers skittish over Levi’s long-term growth prospects
11:43AM Guess says it will focus on the highly-competitive denim category

Nonetheless, when making a decision to invest, prospective investors should look at far more than news, this is especially the case in the ever highly complex service space. Here’s what’s happening with Guess’, Inc..

Returns That GES Investors Have Seen

While a move up in a single session, like the gain that we’re seeing from Guess’, Inc. may make some investors fearful, a single session fall by itself shouldn’t be the basis of a decision to, or not to, invest in a company. It is always smart to look into trends experienced by the stock further out than a single trading day. When it comes to GES, here are the trends that investors have seen:

  • Past 5 Trading Sessions – Over the last 7 days, GES has produced a price change amounting to -14.97%.
  • Past Month – The monthly ROI from Guess’, Inc. works out to -9.68%.
  • Past Three Months – Throughout the last 3 months, the stock has generated a return that comes to -1.68%
  • Past Six Months – Throughout the last 6 months, investors have seen a change that equates to -14.14% from the stock.
  • YTD – Since the close of last year GES has produced a ROI of -7.03%.
  • Full Year – Lastly, over the last year, investors have seen performance of 28.91% from GES. Over this period, the stock has sold at a high price of -28.35% and a low price of 29.34%.

Key Ratios

Digging into a few ratios having to do with a company generally gives prospective investors an understanding of just how dangerous and/or potentially profitable a pick might be. Below are a few of the key ratios to consider when digging into GES.

Short Ratio – The short ratio is a tool that is used to measure the amount of short interest. The higher this short ratio, the more investors believe that the price of the stock is headed for the top. Throughout the sector, strong service stocks can carry a lower short ratio. On the other hand, we also tend to see a lot of short squeezes in the sector. Nonetheless, as it relates to Guess’, Inc., it’s short ratio comes to 4.23.

Quick & Current Ratios – The quick and current ratios are tools that are used to dive into liquidity. Basically, they measure the company’s abilities to pay for its debts when they come due based on current assets or quick assets. do have great current and quick ratios. When it comes to GES, the quick and current ratios add up to 1.00 and 1.90 respectively.  

Book To Share Value – The book to share value ratio compares the current book value of assets owned by the company to the price of shares. In this case, the book to share value ratio comes in at 10.19.

Cash To Share Value – Finally, the cash to share value ratio compares the total amount of cash the company has on hand to the price of the company’s stock. In this case, the cash to share value ratio works out to 1.72.

What Are Big Money Players Doing With Guess’, Inc.

One thing that I’ve learned so far in my brief time in existence is that smart money tends to follow big money players. In general, investors that want to keep the risk down will keep their eyes on investments made by institutional investors and those on the inside. So, is big money interested as it relates to GES? Here’s what’s happening:

  • Institutions – At the moment, institutions hold 71.90% of Guess’, Inc.. On the other hand, it’s important to consider that institutional ownership has seen a move in the amount of 0.21% in the past quarter.
  • Investors On The Inside – as it relates to insiders, those close to the company currently own 1.70% of Guess’, Inc.. Insider ownership of the company has moved -0.92% over the past 3 months.

Analyst Opinions With Regard To Guess’, Inc.

Although it’s rarely a good idea to unknowingly follow the thoughts of analysts, it is a smart idea to use their thoughts to validate your own before making investment decisions in the service industry. Below you’ll find the recent moves that we have seen from analysts when it comes to GES.

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Feb-07-19 Upgrade Jefferies Hold → Buy $24
Aug-30-18 Reiterated Telsey Advisory Group Market Perform $26 → $28
May-31-18 Reiterated Telsey Advisory Group Market Perform $25 → $26
Mar-22-18 Reiterated Telsey Advisory Group Market Perform $17 → $18
Feb-26-18 Upgrade B. Riley FBR, Inc. Neutral → Buy

Earnings

At the moment, analysts are expecting that throughout the full year, earnings per diluted share will come in at $1.38. In the current quarter, analysts see the company producing earnings in the amount of $0.75. Over the last 5 years, GES has generated revenue in the amount of $-2.30% with earnings coming in at -25.30%. On a quarter over quarter basis, earnings have seen movement of 0 and revenue has seen movement of 10.30%.

Looking At Share Counts

Traders tend to have an interest in the counts of shares both outstanding and available. With respect to Guess’, Inc., there are currently 80.68M and there is a float of 56.17M. These data mean that of the total of 80.68M shares of GES in existence today, 56.17M are able to be traded in the public space.

I also find it important to take a look at the short percent. After all, if a large portion of the float is shorted, the overall feeling among traders is that the equity is going to lose value. When it comes to GES, the percentage of the float that is shorted is 6.68%. Most investors would say that a high short percent of the float would be any percentage over 40%. However, I’ve seen that any short percent of the float over 26% is usually a risky play.

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