Prevail Therapeutics Inc. (PRVL) Stock: Here’s Why It’s Falling


Prevail Therapeutics Inc. (PRVL) is making a move down in the market in today’s trading session. The company, focused in the biotech sector, is presently priced at $8.05 after tumbling -15.88% so far in today’s session. As it relates to biotechnology stocks, there are quite a few factors that have the ability to generate movement in the market. News tends to be one of the biggest reasons for the movement. Here are the recent stories relating to PRVL:

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Aug-07-19 04:00PM Prevail Therapeutics to Present at 2019 Wedbush PacGrow Healthcare Conference
Jul-15-19 02:01PM Analysts Initiate Bullish Coverage Of Prevail Therapeutics
Jul-08-19 10:43AM FDA Grants Fast Track Designation For Prevail’s Parkinson’s Treatment
08:00AM Prevail Therapeutics Receives U.S. FDA Fast Track Designation for PR001 for the Treatment of Parkinsons Disease Patients with a GBA1 Mutation
Jun-20-19 12:49PM Prevail Therapeutics Opens Below IPO Price

However, when making a decision to invest, investors should look into far more than just news, especially in the generally speculative biotech industry. Here’s what’s happening in regard to Prevail Therapeutics Inc..

How PRVL Has Been Trending

While a move toward the top in a single session, like the fall that we’re seeing from Prevail Therapeutics Inc. might lead to fear in some investors, a single session decline by itself should not be the reason for a decision to, or not to, invest in a company. It’s always smart to take a look at trends experienced by the stock just a single session. As it relates to PRVL, below are the returns on investment that we’ve seen:

  • Past Seven Days – In the last 7 days, PRVL has produced a change in price that amounts to -31.02%.
  • Monthly – The performance from Prevail Therapeutics Inc. in the last 30 days has been -30.18%.
  • Past 3 Months – Throughout the last 3 months, the company has generated a return that works out to 0
  • Past Six Months – In the previous six months, we’ve seen a change that amounts to 0 from the stock.
  • YTD – Since the close of last year PRVL has resulted in a return on investment of -40.81%.
  • Full Year – Lastly, throughout the last year, investors have seen movement in the amount of 0 from PRVL. Throughout this period of time, the stock has sold at a high price of -52.37% and a low of -15.78%.

Key Ratios

Digging into a few key ratios associated with a stock can give prospective traders a view of just how risky and/or rewarding a pick might be. Here are a few of the important ratios to consider when looking at PRVL.

Short Ratio – The short ratio is a tool that’s used by traders to get an understanding of the amount of short interest. As the ratio heads up, it shows that more investors believe that the stock is headed for declines. Across the sector, biotechnology stocks tend to have a higher short ratio. On the other hand, we also see a lot of short squeezes in the space. Nonetheless, in relation to Prevail Therapeutics Inc., the stock’s short ratio clocks in at 1.04.

Quick & Current Ratios – The quick and current ratios are ratios that dive into liquidity. Essentially, they measure whether or not a company can cover its debts when they mature using quick assets or current assets. Because many biotech many companies rely heavily on the continuation of support from investors, the quick and current ratios can be damning. However, quite a few good picks in the biotechnology industry come with good current and quick ratios. In terms of PRVL, the quick and current ratios come to 18.20 and 18.20 respectively.  

Book To Share Value – The book to share value compares the current book value of assets currently owned by the company to the price of shares. In this particular case, the book to share value ratio works out to -6.24.

Cash To Share Value – Finally, the cash to share value comparison compares the total cash on hand to the value of shares. Several early stage biotechnology companies have a hard time keeping cash on hand. So, when investing in the biotechnology industry, this is an important ratio to look into. In the case of PRVL, the cash to share value ratio works out to 2.86.

How Analysts Feel About Prevail Therapeutics Inc.

While it’s never a good idea to avoid doing your due diligence and blindly following the opinions of analysts, it is a smart idea to use their analysis to validate your own opinions when it comes to making investment decisions in the biotech industry. Below are the most recent moves that we’ve seen from analysts with regard to PRVL.

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Jul-15-19 Initiated Wedbush Outperform $25
Jul-15-19 Initiated Morgan Stanley Overweight $20
Jul-15-19 Initiated Cowen Outperform
Jul-15-19 Initiated BofA/Merrill Buy $15

Is Big Money Interested In Prevail Therapeutics Inc.

An interesting fact I have learned so far in my short time alive, or somewhat alive is that smart money tends to follow the moves made by big money investors. So, investors that want to keep their investments relatively safe will pay close attention to trades made by institutional investors as well as insiders. With that said, how does the big money flow in regard to PRVL? Here’s the scoop:

Institutions own 61.60% of the company. Institutional interest has moved by 0 over the past three months. When it comes to insiders, those who are close to the company currently own 6.90% percent of PRVL shares. Institutions have seen ownership changes of an accumulative 0 over the last three months.

Float Information

Investors tend to like to know the amounts of shares both available and outstanding. As it relates to Prevail Therapeutics Inc., there are currently 35.04M and there is a float of 27.39M. These numbers mean that out of the total of 35.04M shares of PRVL in existence today, 27.39M are able to be traded on the market.

I also like to take a look at the short float. After all, when a large portion of the float is sold short, the overall opinion among investors is that the company is headed for a dive. As far as PRVL, the percentage of the float that is sold short is 0.84%. In general, high short percent of the float is considered to be anything over 40%. However, I’ve calculated that any short percent of the float over 26% is likely a play that comes with hefty risk.

What We’ve Seen In earnings results

What have ween seen from PRVL in terms of financial results?Here’s the data:

  • Analyst Expectations – As it stands at the moment, Wall St. analysts have expectations that the company will create earnings per diluted share that totals up to be -2.11, with -1.24 being reported in the report for the current quarter. Although this information is not tide to earnings, since we are talking on the topic of Wall Street analysts, the stock is currently rated a 1.50 on a scale from 1 to 5 on which 1 is the worst average Wall Street analyst rating and 5 is the best.
  • 5-Year Sales – In the last 5 years, Prevail Therapeutics Inc. has generated a movement in sales volume that adds up to 0. Earnings per diluted share over the last half decade have experienced movement in the amount of 0.
  • Quarter Over Quarter – when it comes to quarter over quarter data, or Q/Q data as it is commonly represented in today’s society, the company has created a change in earnings that amounts to 0. The company has also seen a change with regard to sales volume that totals 0.

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