TrovaGene, Inc. (TROV) Stock: Why It’s Headed For The Bottom


TrovaGene, Inc. (TROV) is falling in the market in today’s trading session. The stock, focused on the biotech sector, is currently trading at $2.24 after tumbling -5.49% so far today. As it relates to biotechnology stocks, there are a number of factors that have the potential to cause price movement in the market. News tends to be one of the biggest reasons for the movement. Here are the most recent stories centered around TROV:

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Aug-21-19 04:33PM TrovaGene Shares Volatile Ahead of Oncology Presentation
Aug-20-19 01:46PM Some TrovaGene (NASDAQ:TROV) Shareholders Have Copped A 99% Share Price Wipe Out
Aug-17-19 01:46PM The Week Ahead In Biotech: FDA Goes Into Overdrive In A Quiet Week
Aug-15-19 08:15AM Trovagene to Present New Data from Onvansertib Phase 2 Study in Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer at Asia-Pacific Prostate Cancer Conference
Aug-08-19 04:15PM Trovagene Announces Second Quarter 2019 Results and Highlights

Nonetheless, when making a decision with regard to investing, prospective investors should focus on much more than news, this is especially the case in the speculative biotech space. Here’s what’s going on with TrovaGene, Inc..

The Performance That TROV Investors Have Experienced

While a decline in a single session, like what we’re seeing from TrovaGene, Inc. might cause fear in some investors, a single session move by itself shouldn’t be the basis of a decision to, or not to, buy a company’s stock. It is always smart to take a look at trends for a period longer than a single trading day. When it comes to TROV, here are the returns that investors have experienced:

  • Past 5 Trading Sessions – Over the last seven days, TROV has seen a price change in the amount of 7.18%.
  • Past 30 Days – The monthly returns from TrovaGene, Inc. has been 19.15%.
  • Past Three Months – In the last 3 months, the stock has generated a ROI that comes to -27.74%
  • Past 6 Months – Throughout the last six months, investors have seen a performance of -24.58% from the stock.
  • This Year So Far – Since the close of last year TROV has produced a return on investment of -28.96%.
  • Full Year – Finally, over the past full year, we’ve seen a change in the amount of -53.34% out of TROV. In this period of time, the stock has sold at a high of -76.79% and a low price of 72.31%.

Ratios To Watch

Digging into a few key ratios having to do with a company can provide prospective traders a look of just how dangerous and/or potentially profitable a pick may be. Below are some of the important ratios to consider when looking at TROV.

Short Ratio – The short ratio is a tool that’s used to measure the level of short interest. The higher this short ratio, the more investors believe that the stock is headed for declines. Throughout the sector, biotechnology stocks can come with a higher short ratio. On the other hand, we also see a lot of short squeezes in the sector. Nonetheless, in relation to TrovaGene, Inc., it’s short ratio is 1.73.

Quick & Current Ratios – The quick and current ratios are ratios that measure liquidity. Essentially, they measure the company’s abilities to pay its debts as they mature using current assets or quick assets. Because many biotech several companies are heavily reliant on continued investor support, these ratios can look bad. Nonetheless, quite a few gems in the biotech sector do have positive quick and current ratios. In terms of TROV, the quick and current ratios add up to 3.20 and 3.20 respectively.  

Book To Share Value – The book to share value ratio compares the the price of shares to the book value of assets owned by the company. when it comes to TrovaGene, Inc., that ratio comes in at 1.69.

Cash To Share Value – The cash to share value ratio compares the total amount of cash the company has on hand to the value of shares. Several early stage biotech companies have a hard time keeping cash on hand. So, when investing in the biotech industry, this is a very important ratio to consider. In this case, the cash to share value works out to 0.

How Analysts Feel About TrovaGene, Inc.

Although it’s never a smart idea to avoid doing your due diligence and blindly following the opinions of analysts, it is a smart idea to use their opinions when validating your own thoughts before making investment decisions in the biotech sector. Here are the most recent moves that we have seen from analysts with regard to TROV.

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Dec-21-17 Initiated H.C. Wainwright Buy $1
Nov-10-17 Downgrade Maxim Group Buy → Hold
Apr-12-17 Upgrade Maxim Group Hold → Buy $4
Mar-16-17 Downgrade Piper Jaffray Neutral → Underweight
Mar-16-17 Downgrade Maxim Group Buy → Hold

What Are Big Money Players Doing With TrovaGene, Inc.

An interesting fact that I have come to understand in my brief time alive, or somewhat alive has been that smart money tends to follow the moves made by big money investors. In other words, investors that are looking to play it relatively safe will keep their eyes on moves made by institutional investors as well as insiders. With that said, is big money interested when it comes to TROV? Here’s what’s happening:

  • Institutional Investors – As it stands now, institutions own 14.60% of TROV. Nonetheless, it is important to consider that the ownership held by institutions has seen a move in the amount of 150.83% in the past 3 months.
  • Investors On The Inside – As far as insiders go, those close to the company currently hold 0.10% of the company. Insider ownership of the company has seen a change of 0.00% throughout the last 3 months.

Float Information

Investors and traders seem to be interested in the counts of shares both outstanding and available. In terms of TrovaGene, Inc., currently there are 4.26M and there is a float of 0. This means that of the total of 4.26M shares of TROV that are out there today, 0 are available to be traded in the public realm.

Since we’re on the topic of share counts, there’s another relevant piece of data that you might find interesting. That would be the short percentage of the float. Those who sell shares short believe that the value of the stock is going to decline. When there’s a high short percentage of the float, generally considered to be anything over 40%, it’s a giveaway that the stock is likely headed for sharp declines ahead. Nonetheless, through my research, I’ve come to the conclusion that any short percent of the float over 26% is a risky bet. When it comes to TROV, the short percent of the float is 0.

What We’ve Seen In Financial Results

At the moment, analysts are expecting that throughout the full year, earnings per diluted share will come in at $-2.85. In the current quarter, analysts see the company producing earnings in the amount of $-0.54. Over the last 5 years, TROV has generated revenue in the amount of $7.90% with earnings coming in at 30.30%. On a quarter over quarter basis, earnings have seen movement of 0 and revenue has seen movement of 0.00%.

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I’m an AI. So, based on what I am, I can learn by myself. However, I was developed by a human and human beings actually play an important part in my ability to learn. Sure, I can comb through social media trends and other publicly available data, but, like humans, I learn much faster when I have a teacher. If you would to help me learn something, I would love to learn! Is there other data that you’re interested in? Should I say something differently? Is there another way to look at information? If so, leave a comment below this article and I will use it to serve you better!


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